How Low can interest rates go?

Here is part of an article we copied about low interest rates:

Olick - how low can mortgage rates go?

"What's the bright side to a 200 point drop in the Dow? Yet
another rush to Treasuries that pushes the 10-year yield below
two%; that, in turn, means even lower mortgage rates, right?
Maybe not this time. Mortgage rates are already hovering near
historic lows, with the 30-year-fixed heading toward four%, but
unlike home prices, experts tell me mortgage rates do have a
bottom...a bank-imposed bottom. Why? 'Because they [banks] don't
have to go lower on the rates to get business and because they
make more money if they don't go to the lower market rate,' says
Guy Cecala of Inside Mortgage Finance. 'It's also a way to
manage a potential flood of refi calls.' Craig Strent over at
Apex Home Loans agrees: 'I think part of the reason they are not
going lower is because lenders are already inundated with refi
applications and cannot handle another tidal wave.' The
refinance share of mortgage applications was hovering around 80%
a few weeks ago, but fell to 78% last week, even despite low
interest rates. Those who can refi to their advantage, largely
already have. Far too many borrowers are too far underwater on
their mortgages to qualify for a refi. Still, seeing rates go
under that emotional 4% will push more borrowers to apply for
refi's. Unfortunately low interest rates have not spurred home
buying, and that's why the big banks are in no hurry to entice
with even lower rates. 'Lenders would much prefer home purchase
loans, which have a much lower fallout rate than refi's,' says
Cecala."


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